Experiment ID
184
Pathogen
Agent Strain
type strain for serotype PEN 1
Contains Preferred Model
No
Reference
Blaser, M. J., Duncan, D. J., Warren, G. H., & W-ll, W. . (1983). Experimental Campylobacter jejuni Infection of Adult Mice. Infection and Immunity, 39, 2.
Exposure Route
intragastric
Response
infection
Host type
mice
# of Doses
5.00
Dose Units
CFU
Μodel
exponential
k
9.01E-07
LD50/ID50
7.69E+05
Description
T1 Strain for serotype PEN 1 data 
Dose Infected Non-infected Total
1 0 5 5
100 0 5 5
1E+04 0 5 5
1E+06 3 2 5
1E+08 5 0 5

 

Goodness of fit and model selection
Model Deviance Δ Degrees 
of freedom
χ20.95,1 
p-value
χ20.95,m-k 
p-value
Exponential 0.0918 -0.000599 4 3.84
1
9.49
0.999
Beta Poisson 0.0924 3 7.81
0.993
Exponential is preferred to beta-Poisson; cannot reject good fit for exponential.

 

Optimized k parameter for the exponential model, from 10000 bootstrap iterations
Parameter MLE estimate Percentiles
0.5% 2.5% 5% 95% 97.5% 99.5%
k 9.01E-07 4.61E-08 2.21E-07 2.21E-07 4.61E-06 4.61E-06 4.61E-06
ID50/LD50/ETC* 7.69E+05 1.51E+05 1.51E+05 1.51E+05 3.14E+06 3.14E+06 1.51E+07
*Not a parameter of the exponential model; however, it facilitates comparison with other models.

 

 

 

Parameter histogram for exponential model (uncertainty of the parameter)

 

Exponential model plot, with confidence bounds around optimized model

References