| 
mice (5day old, day 1-21 pooled) /  Pseudomonas aeruginosa [1] 
| Dose | Dead | Survived | Total |  
| 2.5 | 0 | 13 | 13 |  
| 2.5 | 0 | 13 | 13 |  
| 25 | 0 | 14 | 14 |  
| 25 | 0 | 14 | 14 |  
| 250 | 0 | 12 | 12 |  
| 250 | 0 | 12 | 12 |  
| 2500 | 4 | 13 | 17 |  
| 2500 | 4 | 13 | 17 |  
| 25000 | 13 | 2 | 15 |  
| 25000 | 15 | 0 | 15 |  
| 250000 | 17 | 0 | 17 |  
| 250000 | 17 | 0 | 17 |  | 
 
| 
Goodness of fit and model selection
| Model | Deviance | Δ | Degrees of freedom
 | χ20.95,1 p-value
 | χ20.95,m-k p-value
 |  
| Exponential | 4.36  |  -0.000549 |  | 3.84 1
 | 19.7 0.958
 |  
| Beta Poisson | 4.36 | 10 | 18.3 0.93
 |  
| Exponential is preferred to beta-Poisson; cannot reject good fit for exponential. |  | 
 
| 
Optimized k parameter for the exponential model, from 500 bootstrap iterations
| Parameter | MLE estimate | Percentiles |  
| 0.5% | 2.5% | 5% | 95% | 97.5% | 99.5% |  
| k | 1.05E-04 | 6.84E-05 | 7.49E-05 | 7.84E-05 | 1.48E-04 | 1.57E-04 | 1.73E-04 |  
| ID50/LD50/ETC* | 6.61E+03 | 4.01E+03 | 4.40E+03 | 4.68E+03 | 8.84E+03 | 9.26E+03 | 1.01E+04 |  
| *Not a parameter of the exponential model; however, it facilitates comparison with other models. |  | 
 
 
 

Parameter histogram for exponential model (uncertainty of the parameter)

Exponential model plot, with confidence bounds around optimized model
References