Host type
# of Doses
4.00
Μodel
a
1.37E-01
N50
1.46E+04
LD50/ID50
1.46E+04
Dose Units
Response
Agent Strain
From infected humans
Exposure Route
Experiment Dataset
Description: 
Dose response data [1]
Dose Infected Non-infected Total
48 0 6 6
454 2 4 6
4460 1 2 3
550000 2 1 3

 

Goodness of fit and model selection
Model Deviance Δ Degrees 
of freedom
χ20.95,1 
p-value
χ20.95,m-k 
p-value
Exponential 22.5 21.3 3 3.84 
3.97e-06
7.81 
5.14e-05
Beta Poisson 1.22 2 5.99 
0.544
Beta-Poisson fits better than exponential; cannot reject good fit for beta-Poisson.

 

Optimized parameters for the beta-Poisson model, from 10000 bootstrap iterations
Parameter MLE estimate Percentiles
0.5% 2.5% 5% 95% 97.5% 99.5%
α 1.37E-01 1.34E-02 2.24E-02 4.22E-02 3.39E+00 2.21E+02 2.14E+03
N50 1.46E+04 5.09E+02 8.20E+02 1.06E+03 1.71E+08 8.25E+11 1.62E+18

 

Parameter scatter plot for beta Poisson model ellipses signify the 0.9, 0.95 and 0.99 confidence of the parameters.

beta Poisson model plot, with confidence bounds around optimized model


References